Nasdaq surges as Nvidia, Amazon lead tech rally ahead of Fed decision

The stock market’s feverish rally following Donald Trump’s presidential election victory may have just been an early appetizer for a strong few months of gains.

“Exuberance lies ahead,” Julian Emanuel, who leads the equity, derivatives, and quantitative strategy team at Evercore ISI, wrote in a note to clients Wednesday night. “President-Elect Trump will move fast on policy initiatives, and stocks will move fast in response.”

Emanuel, who already had a 6,000 call on the S&P 500 for 2024, now sees the S&P 500 hitting 6,600 by the end of June 2025, about an 11% increase from its current level. A “public reengaged in speculation,” as evidenced by Wednesday’s market action with bitcoin (BTC-USD) hitting 76,000 for the first time and Tesla (TSLA) stock soaring 14%, could help drive the benchmark index higher, per Emanuel.

Read more here.

Yahoo Finance’s Claire Boston reports:

Mortgage rates rose for a sixth consecutive week, following Treasury yields as they climbed higher through the presidential election.

The average 30-year fixed-rate mortgage rose to 6.79% through Wednesday, up from 6.72% a week earlier, according to Freddie Mac data. The average 15-year fixed-rate mortgage was essentially unchanged, to 6% from 5.99%.

Mortgage rates typically mirror 10-year Treasury yields, which rose quickly in recent weeks as traders grew increasingly confident that former President Donald Trump would win Tuesday’s election and implement inflationary policies like tariffs.

Read more here.

About 24 hours after Donald Trump won the presidential election, American CEOs are already weighing on how the president elect’s policies could impact their business.

For one, Trump’s proposed increases on tariffs are expected to weigh on retailers. On Wednesday, Steve Madden (SHOO)CEO Edward Rosenfeld said his company has been “planning for a potential scenario in which we would have to move goods out of China more quickly.”

“Our goal over the next year is to reduce that percentage of goods that we sourced from China by approximately 40% to 45%, which means that if we’re able to achieve that and we think we have the plan to do it, that a year from today, we would be looking at just over a quarter of our business that would be subject to potential tariffs on Chinese goods,” the shoemaker’s CEO said.

Trump’s presidency is also expected to be less restrictive on mergers and acquisitions. Warner Bros. Discovery (WBD) CEO David Zaslav said Thursday Trump’s second term could provide an opportunity for more consolidation in the media industry.

“We have an upcoming new administration, and it’s too early to tell, but it may offer a pace of change and an opportunity for consolidation that may be quite different,” Zaslav said on a call with analysts following the company’s third quarter results.

Raymond James analysts on Thursday downgraded shares of DHI, saying that in the wake of Trump’s election win, they view mortgage rates staying “higher for longer” and constraining housing affordability.

The investment firm downgraded (DHI) to Market Perform from Outperform, but kept the same price target at $195.00.It lowered its fiscal year 2025 EPS estimates to $13.25 from $15.80, and projects an EPS estimate of $15.00 in the fiscal year of 2026.

Due to “the near-term pressures we see on entry level homebuilders, whose core first-time buyers are likely to face even greater affordability challenges this spring,” Buck Horne, director at Raymond James & Associates, wrote in a note to clients.

“Coming out of a volatile October, DHI was already facing pressure from a more competitive inventory environment, rising rates, and buyers’ election anxiety,” Horne added.

The bearish call comes as DHI reported weaker than expected home orders for its fiscal fourth quarter as high mortgage rates dampened buyer affordability.

Netflix (NFLX) stock has surged to another all-time high as tech rallies after Donald Trump clinched victory over Kamala Harris in the presidential election.

The stock is currently trading above $790 a share and has climbed more than 60% since the start of the year, with 10% gains over the past month — far outpacing broader markets.

The moves higher extend beyond the recent Trump-fueled rally, however, as Netflix stands out among a list of battered media sector names.

The streamer has added more than 50 million paying subscribers since launching its password crackdown in May 2023. Its projected full-year operating margins are expected to hit 27%, with management hinting the company has the potential to eventually secure margins similar to broadcast networks, which historically have been in the range of 40% to 50%.

And in the first three quarters of 2024, Netflix pulled in roughly $6.9 billion in net income. Its competitors aren’t even close.

Disney (DIS) and Paramount Global (PARA) just reported their first quarter of profits in their respective streaming businesses earlier this summer. A shift for the industry, yes, but not a cure-all for the problems that have plagued traditional media, with Comcast (CMCSA) the most recent company to weigh spinning off its cable networks.

“Netflix is clearly running away with the ball and the media-based streaming companies are struggling to even get on the field,” Barton Crockett, managing director at Rosenblatt Securities, previously told Yahoo Finance.

Read more about Netflix’s dominance here and why analysts say it’s won the hard-fought streaming wars.

Lyft (LYFT) shares soared more than 25% after its third quarter earnings beat expectations.

Lyft’s adjusted earnings per share of $0.29 were ahead of the $0.20 expected, while quarterly revenue of $1.5 billion beat Wall Street’s estimate of $1.4 billion, according to Bloomberg consensus estimates. Rides for the period ended Sept. 30 totaled 217 million, above the 213 million expected.

On Wednesday, Lyft announced partnerships with autonomous vehicle companies as it looks to secure a foothold in the burgeoning market, adding driverless cabs to its network in Atlanta in 2025. Wall Street analysts in notes to investors Thursday gave kudos to Lyft’s expansions beyond ride-hailing.

“LYFT is no longer a ride-hailing pure-play with it now embarking on partnerships in food delivery and AVs,” said RBC Capital Markets analyst and Lyft bull Brad Erikson. Lyft recently unveiled a partnership with DoorDash (DASH).

Still, analysts overall maintained Neutral ratings on the stock, with Wedbush analyst Scott Devitt writing, “[W]e wait for clear evidence of a more sustainable growth trajectory for the business.”

Lyft shares are up 74% from last year but far below highs in the $60 range in 2021.

Bitcoin (BTC-USD) briefly touched new highs just north of $76,000, extending gains from Wednesday’s monster rally following Donald Trump’s White House win.

The cryptocurrency jumped to new records on Wednesday and crypto-related stocks also rose following the presidential election results. Over the summer Trump promised to make the US the crypto capital of the world and form a ‘strategic bitcoin stockpile.’

Shares of AI chip heavyweight Nvidia (NVDA) and e-commerce giant Amazon (AMZN) each gained more than 1% on Thursday, extending gains from Wednesday’s monster rally following Donald Trump’s White House victory.

Both stocks closed at all-time record highs on Wednesday.

Earlier this week Nvidia surpassed iPhone maker Apple (AAPL) as the largest company in the world. The artificial intelligence chipmaker is expected to join the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) on Friday, replacing semiconductor giant Intel (INTC).

Meanwhile, Amazon stock has been in an upward trend after the company posted a stronger-than-expected quarterly result last week. On Thursday, shares were trading just above $210 each.

Another batch of companies reported earnings Thursday morning.

Moderna (MRNA) jumped 5% at the market open as its earnings beat expectations partly thanks to better-than-anticipated COVID vaccine sales. Warner Bros. (WBD) jumped 10% thanks to streaming growth as Max subscribers soared. Meanwhile, Hershey (HSY) fell more than 1% after sinking as much as 3% premarket as high cocoa prices cut into its sales outlook for the year.

Here’s a closer look at how the companies performed:

Hershey: Adjusted earnings per share of $2.34 vs. $2.56 per share expected, revenue of $2.99 billion vs. $3.07 billion expected

Moderna: Earnings per share of $0.03 vs. a loss of $1.98 per share expected, revenue of $1.86 billion vs. $1.25 billion expected

Warner Bros.: Adjusted earnings per share of $0.05 vs. a loss of $0.12 per share expected, revenue of $9.62 billion vs. $9.81 billion expected

Meanwhile, energy companies traded flattish after showing mixed results as natural disasters impacted some of their businesses. Duke Energy (DUK) saw its profits hit by hurricane costs, while Pacific Gas & Electric (PCG) missed on revenue just as it shut off power in Northern California amid fire risks. Nuclear power provider Vistra soared 11% after an earnings beat as it recovers from earlier losses.

Stocks extended their gains on Thursday following a monster rally on the heels of Donald Trump’s White House victory. The move higher in stocks comes ahead of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decision.

The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) inched up 0.1% while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) rose roughly 0.3%. The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) moved up 0.5% after all three major averages closed at record highs on Wednesday.

As Yahoo Finance’s Jennifer Schonberger reports, the Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points and avoid any unnecessary surprises after the election of Trump as the next president.

Meanwhile, parts of the “Trump Trade” showed some signs of unwinding on Thursday as Trump Media & Technology Group stock (DJT) sank by double digits, reversing the gains it enjoyed in the prior session.

Trump Media & Technology Group stock (DJT) sank by double digits in premarket trading on Thursday, reversing the gains it enjoyed on Wednesday as Donald Trump clinched victory over Kamala Harris in the presidential election.

As Yahoo Finance’s Allie Canal reports, shares in the company — the home of Trump’s social media platform, Truth Social — have been on a wild ride over the past week, with the up-and-down moves mostly tied to Trump’s chances of reclaiming the White House.

The stock is down about 10% over the past five days, although shares have rallied nearly 120% in the past month.

Read more here.

Initial jobless claims jumped to 221,000 last week, an increase of 3,000 from the previous week’s revised level, according to data released by the US Department of Labor on Thursday morning.

The previous week’s level was revised up by 2,000 from 216,000 to 218,000.

Meanwhile, continuing claims came in at 1,892,000, an increase of 39,000 from the previous week’s revised level.

Here’s a look at the big economic and market themes happening today as Wall Street adjusts to Donald Trump’s coming return to the White House. The Federal Reserve is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points today, aiming for stability and avoiding surprises following Trump’s victory in the election.

Economic data: Fed interest rate decision; Initial jobless claims, (week ending Nov. 2)

Earnings: Affirm (AFRM), Airbnb (ABNB), Block (SQ), Datadog (DDOG), DraftKings (DKNG), Halliburton (HAL), Hershey (HSY), Moderna (MRNA), Pinterest (PINS), Rivian (RIVN), The Trade Desk (TTD)

Here are some of the biggest stories you may have missed overnight and early this morning:

Fed likely to cut rates as Powell seeks stability after Trump win

US bond yield spike sends warning to ‘king of debt’ Trump

How Elon Musk’s latest government bet paid off

YF columnist Rick Newman: Americans want to return to a place that no longer exists

DJT short sellers get hammered by a $420M loss

How Elon Musk’s latest government bet paid off

Moderna stock rises on surprise COVID vaccine profit

Bank of England cuts interest rates to 4.75%