Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) Stock Forecasts

Summary

The Federal Reserve’s favorite inflation indicator, the PCE Price Index, will be released by the BEA this morning. PCE differs from the better-known Consumer Price Index because its composition is changed more frequently and it is thus quicker to reflect the impact of real-time pricing fluctuations. In the most recent report, through July, PCE inflation was reported at 2.5% year over year. Core PCE, which removes volatile food and energy prices, rose at a rate of 2.6% in the latest month. Our PCE forecasts are for 2.3% for the headline number and 2.8% for the core reading. Overall, inflation in this cycle peaked in summer 2022 and has been on a fairly consistent downward trek since then. We track 20 inflation measures on a monthly basis. On average, they are indicating that prices are rising at a 2.25% rate year over year, down from 2.70% a month ago. The numbers are volatile and are distorted somewhat by ultra-low readings within the Producer Price Intermediate Goods category, which may well be pointing to easing prices across the inflation spectrum in the months ahead. Focusing